Election 2020: Handicapping the Nomination: What do Risk and Uncertainty Tell Us?

Calico Jack – Any safe choices?

The Psy of Life

Predicting the Primary and the Election

This election is a risk election in the strict behavioral economist meaning of the term. People abhor risks, but this election is fraught with them: (1) Is a second term for the Ol’ Pussy Grabber viewed as a risk? Never forget that if the Ol’ Pussy Grabber gets a second term, we’ll have a 7-2 conservative SCOTUS split for the next generation, especially since they will buy the retirements of the “older” conservative judges just like they did with Kennedy. And (2) which candidacies of the Democratic hopefuls viewed as risks?

The Ol’ Pussy Grabber as Risk

I’ve read reporting that voters will vote for the Ol’ Pussy Grabber even though they don’t like him because the economy is “good.” The economy ain’t good. It just looks good for this ephemeral moment. It’s an illusion…

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